Sunday 23 March 2014

Realism in Crimea Conflict


                                                       Realism and Crimea.


Bitterness lingers in Moscow over the drawing of borders post-1991 and this is particularly controversial when it comes to the conflict over Crimea.


Ukraine’s historical conflicts between Europe and Russia have left the country divided culturally and politically resulting in a major identity crisis. While western-Ukraine is occupied by those speaking mostly native Ukrainian and aligning themselves more towards Europe, eastern-Ukraine is dominated by those who share a cultural heritage with Russia. 
Recently, tensions continue to escalate between Ukraine and Russia over Crimea as Moscow warns that it will do anything possible to protect the interests of Russia and Russians within Ukraine and Crimea.

The International Relations theory of Realism provides an accurate explanation of the fundamental principles behind the conflict between Ukraine and Russia over Crimea. This approach to international relations recognises that all national affairs are in conformity with the states own self interest. 

A sailor holds the Russian St Andrew flag on top of the submarine
which was taken over. (credit for image: DailyMail.)
The strategic importance of Crimea to Russia lies much deeper than the issue of perceived borders. The port of Sevastopol is also essential to Russia's naval power. The naval base is fundamental as it is the main method of expanding force through the Mediterranean and beyond. In short, Russia’s main interest in Crimea is in relation to their naval base in Sevastopol, without this, Russia’s global military power would be virtually non-existent.                      
Russia along with the West and Europe has always had conflicting interest in the post-Soviet region. The main concern for Ukraine is that after Crimea, Russia may turn towards Estonia or other eastern parts of Ukraine with a large Russian speaking population. Although the West and Europe may appear to step in to defend Ukraine as an ally, it is obvious that their ulterior motives serve in their own self interest as they want to prevent Russia from expanding their geographical sphere to include the Ukraine in fear of a repeat of the Soviet Union and the Cold War.  

                                Crisis deepens in Ukraine. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FpJWFvKRoK8

The theory of Realism identifies the importance of three key components to each state including Statism, Survival and Self-help. In order to gain a deeper understanding of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine over Crimea we must consider these components in relation to the Crimea conflict.
 
Statism under Realism places great importance on power and recognizes that conflicts in the sphere of international relations can only be resolved in war or violence. The acquiring of as much power as possible is seen to be the main objective for each state and this could explain the method behind Vladimir Putin’s actions. Putin realizes that Russia holds greater power in comparison to the Ukraine and therefore acts upon them without restriction. 

A demonstrator holds a sign with his mouth while taking part in a protest against Russian troops in Ukraine, outside of the Russian embassy in Ottawa March 4, 2014. REUTERS
Machiavelli, whose writings are commonly used in Realism, states that international relations are not concerned by issues of morality. It may hold relative importance between nations of equal power but in terms of superior Russian power over the inferior power of Ukraine, moral objections are irrelevant. This is seen through Putin’s blatant disregard for Ukraine’s concerns.  

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and their military actions in Crimea reinforce their willingness and preparation to use their armed forces to achieve their political aims. The question then is how much Ukraine and the West is willing to tolerate from Russia before the conflict results in war.
  
Armed servicemen wait in Russian army vehicles in Crimea.
 The second key component in Realism relates to Survival. This concept recognises that states must pursue what is in their national interest above all else. In the past few years, Russia’s foreign relations imply an increasing sense of insecurity.  This notion of states pursuing national security at all costs best reflects the decisions of Russia in regards to Crimea.

The principle of self-help relates to trust and also recognises the states responsibility for providing national security. Crimea’s invasion by Russia ended Europe and the West’s delusional partnership with Russian leader Vladimir Putin. A loyal partnership with Russian is likely only when Putin believes it is in his nation’s best interest.

 Riot police stand in front of pro-Russian activists as they storm the prosecutor's office in the eastern Ukrainian city of Donetsk  Photo: ALEXANDER KHUDOTEPLY/AFP/Getty Images

The conflict between Russia and Ukraine over Crimea is one that is understood more clearly under the approach of Realism. It demonstrates that not only do states act in their own self-interest with their main objection being the acquiring of power, but also that their national security is paramount above all else and should be pursed at all costs. Russia’s invasion and threats of military action strengthens the Realist notion of conflicts only being resolved through warfare. 



References:
U.S. to Russia: Pull out of Ukraine immediately. USA Today. March 1, 2014. http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2014/03/01/crimean-putin-russia-ukraine/5922731/
Christopher Spencer. Ukraine Crisis: The Theories Involved. Liberty Voice. March 5, 2014. http://guardianlv.com/2014/03/ukraine-crisis-the-theories-involved/

Russia in Crimea: When States Act Out Of Insecurity. The Diplomat. March 15, 2014. http://thediplomat.com/2014/03/russia-in-crimea-when-states-act-out-of-insecurity/

Time for Realism and Common Sense on Ukraine. The Nation. March 6, 2014. http://www.thenation.com/article/178655/time-realism-and-common-sense-ukraine




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